I know nothing about election politics, but I’ve decided to make a prediction for the Prognistication file anyway.
I’m noticing that a lot of conservative coverage of Obama’s campaign is pointing out that he’s just another politician, he’s not divine, he has ties to Chicago politicians, or that some of his actions are politically motivated (in an election year, no less).
When you’re stuck arguing that your opponent is not a deity, you’re going to lose.
Hey Mark…I don’t have any inside info, but look for McCain and the GOP to refine the message next month, and of course into the convention in September. Most people, especially those coveted working class swing voters, are paying at best casual attention to the race. They are paying much closer attention to having to refill their gas tanks for the princely sum of $50, which is why the Obama trolls only comment on Marathon Pundit energy posts with the same talking points–and adding a link to T. Boone Picken’s wind power site.
They ignore the Rezko entries.
Oh…I almost forgot…thanks for the link!
My hunch is like Dukakis in ’88, and Nixon in ’60 (and ’68, even though he won) Obama is making the mistake of peaking too early. He’ll get a bounce after his football stadium speech in Denver next month, but to keep the momentum going, he’s going to have to walk on water and fill boats with fish.
Yeah, it’s pretty obvious that the McCain campaign isn’t really trying right now. I expect he’ll amp it up later when it matters more.
But if he loses in a blow-out, I’ll be able to say I predicted it…
An interesting (and persuasive) way of looking at it.