The difference between data and a model
I saw that Donald Trump retweeted this and — after getting over the fact that the President of the United States was retweeting pandemic analysis from an anonymous dude calling himself “bad cat” — I wanted to respond to some of the things in the thread: In general, he’s talking about charts of confirmed U.S.… Read more
Building the Model is the Easy Part
Apparently when the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign made their plans to return to live classes this fall, they based some of their planning on epidemiological models constructed especially for the purpose. This included a test, trace, and isolation plan which the models indicated would be effective at preventing community spread of Covid-19 on campus.… Read more
Illinois needs another lockdown [Updated]
I’m no expert, but I’ve been poring over statistics on the Covid-19 pandemic since it began, and regularly tweeting out the numbers for the local Chicago area, and I’m starting to feel like I might have an understanding of some of the basics. And what I’m seeing right now has me worried that Illinois is… Read more
Much ado about the Harper’s letter
Corona Dreaming
Classical liberalism, criminal laws, the war on drugs, economics, free speech, technology, photography, sex work, cats, and whatever else comes to mind.