Year: 2024
Tasha the Adventure Cat, part 1: Battle!
Some of you may remember that my wife and I adopted a new Siberian kitten about a year ago. We named her Tasha. Tasha’s life as a kitten has been an adventure. She explored the house with boundless energy. Just in her first few weeks with us she was accidentally kicked, stepped on, and even… Read more
Biden’s Path to Victory – 2024-07-20
As I mentioned in a previous post, I’m looking at some of the election forecast data to try to figure out how things are going for Biden (and by extension Trump) in the battleground states. The ABC News 538 site has only slightly reduced its probability of a Biden victory from 49% to 48% (with… Read more
Thoughts on the Trump Assassination Attempt
Like everybody else, I have been having thoughts about the attempt to assassinate Donald Trump. It took me a while to gather those thoughts into something like publishable form. The Shot When I first heard he’d been hustled off the stage by Secret Service agents, I didn’t think much of it. I assumed they were… Read more
Biden’s Path to Victory – 2024-07-10
As I mentioned in a previous post, I’m looking at some of the election forecast data to try to figure out how things are going for Biden (and by extension Trump) in the battleground states. The ABC News 538 site has downgraded its probability of a Biden victory from 51% to 49% (with Trump going… Read more
Biden’s Path to Victory – 2024-07-03
No, this isn’t a rumination on whether Biden should be replaced as the Democratic nominee. It’s an attempt to display some election modeling data in a useful way. Nate Sillver’s old FiveThirtyEight blog used to have a pretty nifty “snake” diagram showing the states in order by likelihood of victory for each of the two… Read more